Stewie Griffin investigates the potential for Iranian disruption of Middle East oil supplies, warning investors not to underestimate the risk of a price spike.
Stewie Griffin investigates the potential for Iranian disruption of Middle East oil supplies, warning investors not to underestimate the risk of a price spike.

Blast!

Oh good heavens! It appears the world is once again teetering on the brink of economic chaos and all because of that delightful little powder keg known as the Middle East. Apparently some boffins are suggesting that those chaps in Iran might just decide to throw a wrench—or perhaps a missile—into the global oil supply. And investors bless their cotton socks are acting as if nothing is amiss! It’s like when Brian pretends he doesn’t see the trail of destruction I leave after a particularly ambitious afternoon project. Utterly infuriating I say!

A Hormuz Horror Show?

Now the crux of the matter lies in this Strait of Hormuz a rather narrow stretch of water that’s apparently more vital than Brian’s sherry. A whopping 20 million barrels of oil pass through this chokepoint daily. The analysts at Barclays are warning that the market is blithely ignoring the possibility of Iran attempting to block it. It's a disaster scenario just ripe for the picking like Lois's meatloaf after a week in the fridge. Yet the market yawns. Honestly you’d think they'd learn from past mistakes like when Peter tried to 'help' with my time machine. The results were... regrettable.

Money Money Money!

Goldman Sachs those titans of finance estimate that if the Strait were to experience a 50% reduction in oil flow for just one month Brent crude could briefly surge to $110 per barrel. Imagine the repercussions! Lobster Thermidor would become an extravagance reserved only for the truly elite. UBS not to be outdone suggests a complete closure could send prices soaring past $120. It would be like that time Brian tried to convince me that kibble was gourmet. Absolutely preposterous!

Mining Mayhem

It seems the Iranians have a few tricks up their sleeves including the potential to deploy mines in the Strait. One analyst from Danske Bank (who knew the Danes were so interested in global oil?) suggests that even the mere threat of mines could send insurers running for the hills. No one wants to foot the bill for a sunken supertanker darling. It's like when I tried to convince Brian to invest in my death ray project. No vision I tell you no vision!

Khamenei's Gambit

The analyst further muses that if Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei feels he has 'nothing to lose anymore' he might just go all in. It's a rather dramatic assessment isn’t it? But then world leaders can be as unpredictable as Peter after a few too many cocktails. Imagine the possibilities! Though I doubt even the most desperate leader would stoop to wearing Crocs in public. That my friends would be a true act of war.

Stewie's Sage Advice

So what’s a budding evil genius to do? Simple: be prepared! Don’t be caught off guard like Brian when I swap his sherry for prune juice. Keep an eye on those oil prices invest wisely (perhaps in drone defense systems?) and above all avoid wearing anything that clashes with your diabolical intentions. After all one must always maintain a sense of style even during the apocalypse. Giggity!


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