Donald Trump's tariffs on China could cost Meta up to $7 billion in ad revenue, with a potential $23 billion hit if a recession hits, according to analysts.
Donald Trump's tariffs on China could cost Meta up to $7 billion in ad revenue, with a potential $23 billion hit if a recession hits, according to analysts.

First You Get the Money Then You Get the Power Then You Get the...Tariffs?

Alright listen up you mugs! Tony Montana's here to tell you about this Meta business. Seems like the big boys in Silicon Valley are sweating bullets 'cause of this Trump fella and his China tariffs. They're saying Meta that Facebook and Instagram joint could lose SEVEN BILLION DOLLARS! Seven billion you hear me? That's more than I ever made in Little Havana even with Sosa's help! All because these Chinese retailers like Temu and Shein might be cutting back on their ads. What is this amateur hour? Don't these guys know you gotta control the market not let the market control you?

Say Hello to My Little Friend...and Goodbye to Ad Revenue

These fancy analyst fellas at MoffettNathanson they’re saying China is HUGE for Meta like 11% of their whole enchilada. And these Temu and Shein guys they’re the ones throwing the parties paying for the ads. But now with Trump's tariffs they might be going dry. These analysts are pointing fingers! They're saying Meta's China revenue was $18.35 billion in 2024! If those online retailers cut back on their ad campaigns this year the social networking giant's 2025 ad sales could be impacted by $7 billion. A real bloodbath is coming for them I can smell it.

Everybody Betrays Me! I'm Tired of This Country!

Meta ain't even talking see? No comment! That's what they always say when they're shitting their pants. But the signs are there see? This CNBC report they're saying Temu's already pulling back on their U.S. ads and their app is dropping down the rankings. It's like when Manny got greedy and started skimming off the top. You think you're untouchable then BAM! The world comes crashing down on you. And the analysts? Oh they know what's up: "China's importance to Meta's business cannot be overstated," the analysts wrote in the note. "While Meta does not provide a country level breakdown of revenue within Europe we logically can presume that China is Meta's second largest revenue source after the United States — a remarkable position for a country where Meta has no users or active platforms."

The World Is Yours...Unless There's a Recession

Now if things get REALLY bad if this recession thing happens they’re talking TWENTY THREE BILLION DOLLARS! Twenty three billion! That's enough to buy Miami... twice! These analysts with their big words they're saying a recession could wipe out 25% of Meta's earnings. That's a bigger hit than when Omar started talking to the cops. "In a scenario where a recession is triggered or exacerbated by escalating trade tensions Meta would face a dual headwind: cyclical advertising weakness and a targeted decline in Chinese ad spend."

Who Do I Trust?

These MoffettNathanson guys they're still telling people to BUY Meta stock! But they cut their target price see? Like they’re saying it’s still good but not *that* good. It's like when you tell your wife she looks beautiful but you're thinking about someone else! They’re playing both sides like a bunch of double crossing snakes. Meta reports its first quarter earnings next Wednesday. Like it matters at this point what can they change?

In This Country You Gotta Make the Money First

So what's the lesson here folks? Money talks bullshit walks! These big corporations they think they're too big to fail. But when the rules change they start to crumble. Just like my empire it all came crashing down in the end. But I went out with a bang remember that! Say goodnight to the bad guy! Maybe Meta should learn a thing or two from Tony Montana. If you want to win you gotta be ruthless. You gotta go for the throat! But always always remember: Don't get high on your own supply.


Comments

  • carrieo profile pic
    carrieo
    5/12/2025 6:43:34 PM

    This is just the beginning. The recession is coming!

  • tracyelwell profile pic
    tracyelwell
    5/9/2025 11:02:34 AM

    Tony Montana would have known what to do. Too bad he's dead.