
Bloody Hell What a Mess!
Right so the Yanks have gone and stirred the pot in Iran haven't they? Trump bless his cotton socks calls it an 'obliteration.' Obliteration! Sounds like my last attempt at a soufflé. Now Iran's running to Moscow cap in hand begging Putin for a bit of help. They've been supplying Russia with drones for the Ukraine debacle but will Vlad return the favor? Don't hold your breath you donkey!
Putin's Dilemma: Friend or Foe (or Just Profitable)?
This is where it gets interesting innit? Putin's got to walk a tightrope thinner than a bloody tagliatelle noodle. He needs to keep Iran sweet but he also can't afford to piss off Trump. One wrong move and BOOM sanctions up the wazoo! As Holger Schmieding so eloquently puts it Putin's got little to offer beyond some 'words'. Words? They're about as useful as a chocolate teapot in this situation.
A Distraction from Disaster?
Here's a thought: maybe this whole Iranian fandango is a win for Russia in Ukraine. The West gets distracted their attention shifts and suddenly Ukraine's just a side dish. Plus higher oil prices? Ka ching! More money for Putin's war chest. Clever very clever... almost makes me want to give him a Michelin star... almost.
Losing Friends and Influencing Nobody
But hold on it's not all sunshine and soufflés. Russia's watching another ally crumble. First Syria now Iran. Their foothold in the Middle East is shrinking faster than a poorly cooked scallop. And those lovely investments? Gone! Up in smoke! Eight billion dollars in oil and gas projects? Poof! Like a bloody magic trick gone wrong.
The Great Gamble: To Help or to Ditch?
So what's Putin to do? Does he throw Iran a lifeline or does he let them drown? According to Nikita Smagin Moscow's scratching its head harder than I do when someone orders a well done steak. They've sunk billions into Iranian projects but they also stand to make a killing from rising oil prices. It's a bloody gamble I tell you!
Investments Up in Flames!
Let's be clear no military help is coming. The real issue is those investments. Oil gas infrastructure the whole shebang. The Iranian ambassador was bragging about Russia being their biggest investor just days before this whole bloody mess kicked off. Now? It's all hanging by a thread thinner than my patience with a clueless sous chef. This is a disaster! A complete and utter culinary catastrophe!
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