
Tariffs? What Tariffs?!
Aw geez! President Trump that fella he's gone and slapped new tariff rates on a whopping 14 trading partners! Can you believe it? It's like he's playing a big game of 'Duck Duck Goose' but with economies! He sent letters to bigwigs in Japan South Korea Malaysia Kazakhstan South Africa Laos Myanmar Bosnia and Herzegovina Tunisia Indonesia Bangladesh Serbia Cambodia and Thailand. Each letter? Boom! New tariffs ranging from 25% to 40%! Effective August 1st no less! But here's the kicker: the markets? They're shrugging! Like Huey Dewey and Louie when I tell them to clean their room! 'Oh boy oh boy oh boy!' Is what I said when I saw this.
Asia Pacific's 'Meh' Reaction!
Those Asia Pacific markets the ones supposed to be squawking the loudest? They're barely making a peep! Japan's Nikkei 225? Up a measly 0.3%! South Korea's Kospi? A bit better at 1.8% but still! Where's the panic? Where's the quacking chaos? It's quieter than a Sunday morning at Grandma Duck's! I thought surely there'd be more of a 'waaaugh'!
Europe's Taking a Nap!
And Europe? Fuggedaboutit! Asleep at the wheel! The pan European Stoxx 600? Down a tiny 0.09%! They're trading flatter than my Uncle Scrooge's wallet after a visit from me! Wall Street futures? Up but coming off a losing day. It's like everyone's expecting Trump to do a 'one eighty' and change his mind. 'What's the big idea?' I keep askin'.
The 'TACO' Trade is Back! No Not the Delicious Kind!
Apparently there's this thing called the 'TACO' trade. No it ain't about delicious Mexican food! It stands for 'Trump Always Chickens Out'! Some analyst fella Dan Coatsworth thinks the markets are betting on Trump backing down. He even says the tariffs' deadline is "firm but not 100% firm." Well that's about as clear as mud! 'This is the end there is no more' if Trump does go through with it!
Who's Getting a Letter? Who's Not?
The real head scratcher? Some big trading partners like the European Union India and Taiwan didn't get letters. Does that mean they're close to a deal? Or are they next on Trump's 'to do' list? It's more confusing than trying to understand Gladstone Gander's luck! One expert Paul Ashworth figures that without deals the tariffs will rise from 15.5% to 17.3%. At the end of 2024 it was at 2.5%. Boy is that the daffiest thing I've ever heard!
Europe's Hope for a Deal!
Over in Europe they're hoping for a trade deal with the U.S. A deal that would avoid a whopping 20% tariff! An EU diplomat says they might get a letter this week giving them more time to work things out. They're thinking of a 10% baseline tariff with exceptions for stuff like airplanes and uh spirits. Bottoms up! But the diplomat admits it's all up to Trump. Well that's just great! Talk about a wild card! 'Oh I'm so mad I could scream!'
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