Bloody Tariffs and Tech Tantrums: Trump's Gamble on Wall Street

The American Dream Tarnished

Right so here we are another week another mess. Trump bless his cotton socks is at it again. Last week he was twisting Apple's arm over them foreign iPhones. A 25% tariff he says. Then he’s talking about Samsung too as if we didn't have enough trouble brewing already. He wants to be the 'administrator of pain' does he? More like the administrator of bloody chaos. You listen to me markets don't like uncertainty and this is uncertainty served up with a side of arsenic. By order of the Peaky Blinders keep your eyes open and your hands on your wallets.

Nvidia in the Crosshairs

Now this week it’s Nvidia's turn under the spotlight. They're the golden boys of this AI business everyone's talking about them. But with Trump's China AI chip ban biting and analysts twitching about revenue expectations it's like waiting for a bomb to drop. Jim Cramer's worried and when he's worried you know there’s something rotten in the state of Denmark or at least on Wall Street. Middle East chip deals might sweeten the pot but it is still a gamble. Remember even the best horse can stumble in a muddy field. "Everyone's a whore Grace. We just sell different parts of ourselves."

The S&P's Sorrowful Slide

The S&P 500 took a right battering last week dropping 2.6%. Apple poor sods were down nearly 7.6%. The Nasdaq didn't fare much better. And Moody's downgrade? Just another nail in the coffin of this so called 'progress'. They can’t agree on spending packages in the house and they want the market to react well? It's like herding cats in a bloody hurricane. But if it is a good deal then “it’s not a good plan if it doesn’t sound mad”.

Cash is King (and Queen)

We of course are playing a different game. We raised cash when that S&P Short Range Oscillator went overbought. Discipline that's the name of the game. We bought shares when it was time too like Capital One and Eli Lilly we are not scared of taking a gamble if there is a bigger picture being presented. You always need to be one step ahead. This game is about chess not checkers. It is not about winning it is about not losing and making sure everyone else does.

Earnings and Anxieties

Earnings are rolling in and everyone's twitchy. Salesforce Nvidia Costco – all under the microscope. Salesforce needs to show some love for their AI products or they are as good as dead. Costco's got the tariff headache naturally. Look everyone's after certainty but in this game certainty is a myth. The only sure thing is you need to be ruthless to survive like me remember? “Whiskey’s good proofing water. Tells you who’s real and who isn’t.” So who is real and who is playing this game and is going to lose?

The Week Ahead: A Bloody Forecast

The Federal Reserve's inflation gauge Nvidia's earnings all the usual suspects making headlines. But remember the market’s a fickle beast. One minute it is up the next it is biting your hand off. You need to be ready. You need to be sharp. And you need to be able to see the angles that no one else does. By order of the Peaky Blinders stay vigilant and be ready to make a move. I have one rule and that’s you listen to me. Now listen. Because this is how we survive.