Amidst rising tensions, the US considers military options against Iran's nuclear facilities, potentially igniting a wider conflict. Is it a calculated strike or a bloody hell?
Amidst rising tensions, the US considers military options against Iran's nuclear facilities, potentially igniting a wider conflict. Is it a calculated strike or a bloody hell?

Bloody Hell! The Stakes Are Higher Than a Soufflé

Right let's get one thing straight. This isn't some bloody game of 'MasterChef Junior'. We're talking about Iran nuclear weapons and a potential bloody war. The Yanks are sniffing around threatening to drop a 30,000 pound bomb on Iran's precious nuclear toys. Honestly it's like watching amateurs in the kitchen – all heat no finesse. Trump's posturing like a toddler throwing a tantrum demanding 'unconditional surrender'. Is this leadership or a flaming pile of donkey crud?

Fordo: More Fortified Than My Beef Wellington

This Fordo plant... it's buried inside a mountain 300 feet underground wrapped in concrete. Sounds like a bloody tough nut to crack even for a GBU 57. It's like trying to cook a perfect risotto in a microwave. Impossible! Apparently the Yanks are the only ones with the bomb and the bomber. Typical! They always have the fanciest equipment but can they actually cook? I doubt it. If they are to strike they need to bring two. Two bombs and multiple bombing rounds to destroy the facility.

Two Bombs Needed?!

Two bombs... honestly... "So you have two challenges. You would have to drop two of these penetrators at the exact same site" and likely need multiple bombing rounds according to David Des Roches a professor and senior military fellow at the Near East South Asia Center for Strategic Studies at the National Defense University in Washington D.C. "And then you would never be precisely sure how much of the facility you've damaged," he added meaning personnel may need to be deployed on the ground.

Retaliation: A Dish Best Served Hot (and Potentially Radioactive)

Now here's where things get interesting. Iran's not just going to sit there and take it. They're threatening to hit back at U.S. assets in the region. Embassies military bases... it's all on the bloody menu! Gregory Brew senior analyst on Iran and energy at risk consultancy Eurasia Group said the Iranians have signaled that they are ready to attack U.S. bases in the region in the event of a U.S. attack on their domestic soil noting that American bases in Iraq are particularly vulnerable.

Regime Change: A Recipe for More Chaos?

Israel wants regime change in Iran. They want the Islamic Republic to lose its survivability. Destroying the facility will have a profound psychological effect on the Iranians. Ali Vaez Iran project director at nonprofit Crisis Group believes that "Iran can survive and rebuild its nuclear program," even without a diplomatic avenue for a deal with the U.S.

Diplomacy is Dead? More Like Burnt to a Crisp!

So what's the solution? More bombs? More threats? Or perhaps... just perhaps... a bit of bloody diplomacy? Trump's got to decide what he wants: a war or a bloody deal. If he doesn't handle this with care he'll end up with a dish no one wants to swallow. Now stop faffing about and get it right! Otherwise it's straight in the bin!


Comments

  • No comments yet. Become a member to post your comments.