Agent J investigates why Affirm's stock price plummeted after a weak forecast, focusing on CEO Max Levchin's strategy of using 0% loans to gain market share.
Agent J investigates why Affirm's stock price plummeted after a weak forecast, focusing on CEO Max Levchin's strategy of using 0% loans to gain market share.

Houston We Have a Problem: Affirm's Forecast Tanks

Alright people Agent J here reporting live from the financial battlefield. You know sometimes I think Wall Street is just another galaxy far far away. Anyway Affirm this 'buy now pay later' gig their stock took a serious hit. Like 'MIB headquarters after an alien bug invasion' kind of hit. Seems their revenue forecast was weaker than a Neuralyzer battery running on empty. Analysts were expecting one thing and Affirm delivered… something else. It's like ordering a pizza and getting a calzone. Technically edible but not what you signed up for.

The 0% Loan Gambit: Is It a Trap?

So this Max Levchin dude the CEO he's betting the farm on 0% interest loans. His pitch? Get customers hooked and they'll become lifelong fans. Sounds like something an alien trying to infiltrate Earth would come up with right? He told CNBC it's about building customer loyalty even if it means taking a hit on profits. He says they're 'taking share from credit cards.' Good luck with that pal. Those credit card companies are tougher than a Arquillian Battle Cruiser. But hey 13% of their business is now these 0% loans and mostly to people with good credit. Makes you wonder if it's the right play or if he's just trying to 'look good in front of the Intergalactic Banking Committee'.

GMV vs. RLTC: Alphabet Soup or Actual Trouble?

Okay so their Gross Merchandise Volume (GMV) – that's how much stuff people are buying through Affirm – actually beat expectations. But their Revenue Less Transaction Costs (RLTC) took a dive thanks to all those sweet 0% deals. It's like winning the battle but losing the war. They made money but not enough. As for my understanding this is like catching an alien but accidentally letting him escape in your car. Total screw up.

Consumers Keep Spending But Are They Paying?

Levchin claims people are still splurging despite all the economic doom and gloom. And get this – they're actually paying their bills on time at least to Affirm. But here is a thing everyone is scared of the economy but spending with credit like they never did before. Talk about delusion...I am worried about humanity for real.

Analysts Divided: Bullish or Just Blinded by the Light?

Despite the stock cratering some analysts are still seeing stars. Susquehanna Bank of America TD Cowen – they're all singing Affirm's praises pointing to growth potential. Goldman Sachs is even calling them a 'strong category leader.' These guys are either geniuses or they've been Neuralyzed one too many times. Barclays is being cautiously optimistic warning of short term pain but liking the new partnership with Costco. Costco huh? Makes sense. Gotta buy those giant packs of alien food somewhere.

The Long Game: A Decade to Understand What?

Levchin's preaching patience saying it took everyone a decade to figure out Affirm. Ten years? That's like three alien invasions in Earth years! Look I get it building a business takes time. But in the meantime maybe lay off the zero interest crack buddy. My advice? 'A person is smart. People are dumb panicky dangerous animals.' And sometimes they sell off your stock.


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