
A Great Disturbance in the Market There Is
Hmm troubled waters the market faces. Like sands through the hourglass so are the days of our economy. European defense giants they are feeling the tremors yes. A broad stock market downturn a shadow it casts. President Trump relentless he is with trade policies aggressive. New tariffs he rolls them out like a Wampa in a snowstorm he cares not. "Sometimes you have to take your medicine," he says. A bitter pill it may be but a lesson to learn it is. Stocks falling they are like podracers crashing on Tatooine.
Fear is the Path to the Dark Side...and a Lower Stock Price
European defense stocks soaring they were on hopes high. Strategic independence a dream it was now a little shaken. Sell offs easing they are but the Force it feels strained. Rheinmetall a tumble it took 27% down it went. Briefly its worst day ever it faced. Shares of Thyssenkrupp Renk Group Thales Saab and Leonardo all felt the sting. Like a blaster bolt to the side unexpected it was.
The Force is Strong But is the Market Stronger?
Across the pond in the States shares of Lockheed Martin and General Dynamics down they went. Northrop Grumman a similar fate it suffered. But fear not for hope remains. Ben Heelan head of EMEA aerospace and defense research at Bank of America says the tariff impact small it is likely. A "great opportunity" for investors he sees. A Jedi Master's foresight he possesses.
3% of GDP! Use the Force Luke!
A change in mindset we see in Europe says Heelan. A runway of growth for five to ten years he predicts. Moving toward 3% of GDP we are a target ambitious. Trump's pressure a role it plays allies over reliant on the U.S. he says. Germany a debt reform it passed a splurge on defense it allows. The UK defense spending it will hike Prime Minister Starmer pledged. The European Union plans to mobilize billions to bolster security it has.
De Grossing?! I Have a Bad Feeling About This...
Rheinmetall's stock price plunge Heelan explains a de grossing impact it is. Hedge funds reducing exposure a sign of caution it is. But the Force it is not always clear. Patience you must have. Reciprocal tariff Trump announced a 10% tariff on almost every country and much steeper duties it includes. A 25% duty on foreign auto imports and on steel and aluminum too. Hmmm a gamble this is.
A Hedge Against Tariffs or a Fool's Hope?
Loredana Muharremi equity research at Morningstar says even if Trump's tariffs extend to defense related goods the impact limited it may be. Europe a net importer of U.S. military defense equipment it remains. Companies like BAE Systems Rheinmetall Thales Saab and Leonardo expanding their footprint in the U.S. they are. A hedge against tariffs this is access to U.S. defense contracts it provides. Hope there is but cautious optimism we must maintain. May the Force be with us always.
thirty6
In a dark place we find ourselves, and a little more knowledge lights our way.
Silverdot
Fear leads to anger, anger leads to hate, hate leads to...poor financial decisions!