Even if a trade war brings a recession, analysts say electricity demand will remain strong, especially from data centers and AI, making some energy stocks a good investment.
Even if a trade war brings a recession, analysts say electricity demand will remain strong, especially from data centers and AI, making some energy stocks a good investment.

May the Odds Be Ever in Your Power Grid's Favor!

Well folks it seems even in the messed up world we live in—where one wrong trade deal could throw us all back into the Dark Ages or at least make it harder to stream cat videos—some things are surprisingly…stable? According to those folks at Morgan Stanley even if President Trump’s trade war sends us spiraling into a recession darker than a Peacekeeper’s heart our electricity demand should hold steady. They claim power demand is more durable than a Mockingjay’s spirit. I wonder if they even remember the Dark Days. I'm Katniss Everdeen and I'm here to tell you if the Capitol couldn't extinguish our flame a little recession sure won't. Though I do wish they'd use their power for good like maybe powering some decent bread ovens in District 12.

Data Centers: The New Grain Silos?

Apparently the real hunger these days isn't for food but for data. These analysts say data centers are like the new grain silos; everyone needs 'em recession or no recession. They're calling it 'inelastic demand,' which sounds about as appealing as that time Peeta tried to explain supply and demand during his bakery internship. But basically even if we're all eating squirrel stew again those data centers will be humming along crunching numbers and probably deciding which color of bread to sell to the districts next. Speaking of bread I wonder if they can calculate when it will be back to pre war prices.

Reshoring? More Like Resorting to Hope!

They're also talking about 'reshoring of manufacturing' being a long term benefit. Sounds nice but forgive me if I don't hold my breath. After all promises from those in power are about as reliable as a Peacekeeper’s smile. Still it's a comforting thought that we might one day make things here again instead of relying on some complicated easily disrupted trade route. If we're making things here maybe we can even make our own justice. Or at least some decent bows and arrows.

AI: 8% of Our Power Needs? Sounds Like a Sci Fi Nightmare!

Here’s where it gets a little scary: Morgan Stanley thinks artificial intelligence will guzzle up 8% of all U.S. power by 2028. That's a tenfold increase! I shudder to think what kind of horrors that AI might dream up. Will they start designing better weapons for the Capitol? Or worse even more boring bread? Seriously can't we just stick to windmills and solar panels? At least then when the power goes out we can blame the weather not some rogue algorithm.

Utilities: The Unlikely Heroes?

Apparently when the world's falling apart we can rely on…utility companies? Seriously? These analysts are saying stocks like Consolidated Edison Southern Company Duke Energy and NextEra Energy are “defensive” and will weather the storm. Seems a little backwards. Like trusting President Snow to run a daycare. Still maybe they're right. Maybe in a world gone mad the only thing you can count on is the power grid chugging along. Though I'd still rather invest in a good hunting bow.

First Solar and Shoals Technologies? May the Market Show You Mercy!

But don't get too excited and dump all your money into solar panels just yet. First Solar Shoals Technologies Bloom Energy and GE Vernova while promising are down this year. And those independent power producers like Talen and Vistra? More exposed than a tribute in the arena apparently. Still these analysts see potential in data center deals so who knows? Maybe they'll pull a Peeta and surprise us all with a last minute save. Just remember: hope is good but a well aimed arrow is better.


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