Falling consumer confidence and stagnant incomes in China are raising concerns about economic recovery, even as the government tries to boost spending. Cap weighs in!
Falling consumer confidence and stagnant incomes in China are raising concerns about economic recovery, even as the government tries to boost spending. Cap weighs in!

A Nation of Savers? Not on My Watch!

Alright folks Captain America here reporting for duty on a situation brewing overseas. It seems China's having a bit of a… hmmm what's the word Tony Stark always uses? Oh yeah a 'kerfuffle' with their economy. Consumer spending's slower than molasses in January prices are dropping faster than I can catch a grenade and folks are hoarding cash like they're expecting another alien invasion. I always say a penny saved is a penny you can't use to buy a hot dog at the ball game! What's going on here?

Income Inequality: The Real Thanos Threat

Turns out incomes haven't been keeping up with the Joneses or in this case the Zhangs. Only a few sectors are seeing decent wage growth and unemployment among young folks is higher than my disapproval of Hydra. A whopping 64% of households would rather save than spend or invest. Now I'm all for being responsible but saving *everything*? That's like keeping your shield in a glass case and never using it! Luo Zhiheng suggests more than doubling pension payouts. Sounds like a plan! But maybe throwing in a few more public holidays wouldn't hurt either. Everyone deserves a day off even super soldiers... or economists.

The Great Escape: From Shanghai to... Somewhere Else

Now here's a curveball: people are moving *out* of the big cities. Shanghai and Beijing are losing residents faster than I lose arguments with Tony Stark about responsible use of repulsor technology. They're flocking to smaller towns which is causing shifts in spending patterns. People are preferring cheaper goods and companies are being more aggressive with promotions! It's a buyer's market but are people really buying? It seems folks are looking for good deals even when buying flowers. I say buy the darn flowers! What's the point of having money if you can't enjoy a little bit of beauty?

Rural vs. Urban: A Tale of Two Economies

The gap between rural and urban incomes is wider than the Grand Canyon. Rural disposable income is less than half that of cities although their spending is up. Standard Bank's Stevens mentioned that the ratio of consumption to income in rural areas has "substantially increased" and surpassed pre pandemic levels while that of urban households has declined. But let's be honest even if they're spending more proportionally they don't have the deep pockets to really move the needle. The top 20% are holding all the cards... and the cash. Time for a little 'common prosperity,' perhaps?

Policy Headaches: Solving Problems is like Assembling an Ikea Set

The government's trying to boost employment and improve social welfare which is a good start. But they're avoiding the mass cash handouts that the U.S. and Hong Kong did. Why? Well maybe they're afraid people will just save that too! One thing's for sure: this 'common prosperity' initiative while well intentioned has added to the uncertainty. People are worried about what it all means and uncertainty breeds… well you guessed it more saving! It's a vicious cycle. I have a better solution! Why don't we try turning China into a giant Super Soldier!

Rational Consumers: What Would Peggy Do?

Analysts like Bruno Lannes are saying that Chinese consumers are becoming more 'rational.' Apparently before the pandemic they were willing to buy anything even if it wasn't all that innovative. Now they know what they want. Well good for them! But remember what Peggy Carter taught me: sometimes you have to take a leap of faith. So China take a chance! Spend a little boost the economy and maybe buy a shield while you're at it. You never know when you might need it.


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