Trump and Iran Talking Deal Is the World About to Explode?!

A Curious Case Indeed

The game as they say is afoot! Or rather a nuclear game. News has reached my Baker Street abode of burgeoning talks between the Trump administration and the enigmatic rulers of Iran. Mycroft would call it a Gordian Knot of international relations but where he sees insurmountable complexity I see… well a knot that requires a rather sharp intellect to untangle. It appears there's a whiff of optimism in the Dubai air a sentiment as rare as a sober Irishman in a whiskey distillery. But optimism as I've learned is often the disguise of a cunning rogue. As I said to Watson on a similar occasion "It has long been an axiom of mine that the little things are infinitely the most important."

The Desperate Gambit

Ah the sweet scent of desperation! Gregory Brew a chap from Eurasia Group suggests that Iran facing economic woes and weakened regional influence is more eager for a deal than a pickpocket is for a gold watch. Trump that blustering American chap apparently holds a favorable hand unfettered by public opinion that restrains his predecessor. He of course doesn't 'give a damn' as the youth would say. One might argue Trump holds all the cards but as any seasoned gambler knows it’s not just about the cards; it’s about how you play the player. Remember dear reader “There is nothing more deceptive than an obvious fact.”

A Tangled Web of Uranium

The crux of the matter of course is Iran's dalliance with nuclear enrichment. They claim it's for peaceful purposes a claim as believable as Moriarty pleading innocence. The United Nations' watchdogs are raising their eyebrows so high they’re practically touching their hats. And here's the kicker: they're enriching uranium to a level perilously close to weapons grade. Trump in his characteristic bombastic style has hinted at a military response if they don't play ball. One is reminded of my own warning "Mediocrity knows nothing higher than itself but talent instantly recognizes genius." The question is is Iran's nuclear program genius… or simply madness?

The Red Line: Weaponization

The 'red line' is now drawn. Weaponization is now completely off the table. Nader Itayim of Argus Media suggests that Trump is primarily concerned with preventing Iran from actually building a bomb. The Iranians predictably claim they have no intention of doing so. This of course is where the art of deception comes into play. Everyone knows that liars do indeed lie. As I once told Watson regarding the veracity of a certain witness "The world is full of obvious things which nobody by any chance ever observes.” The Americans and Iranians are acting in an interesting game of 'cat and mouse.'

Whispers of Distrust and the Israeli Spectre

Ah the inevitable specter of distrust! And the looming shadow of Israel an ally none too pleased with these negotiations. Trump ever the showman suggests that Israel would lead any military strike against Iran if they don't abandon their nuclear ambitions. The air is thick with veiled threats and thinly disguised agendas. It's all very dramatic really. It has the same air as when Professor Moriarty had the upper hand but as the great detective I am I prevailed. The scene reminds me "How often have I said to you that when you have eliminated the impossible whatever remains however improbable must be the truth?"

The Game Continues

So the game continues with its shifting alliances hidden agendas and the ever present threat of global catastrophe. Will Trump secure a deal? Will Iran back down? Or will the world find itself teetering on the brink of disaster? Only time and perhaps a keen observer with a deerstalker hat will tell. But as I've always maintained "It is a capital mistake to theorize before one has data. Insensibly one begins to twist facts to suit theories instead of theories to suit facts."