Trump's tariffs on Cambodian goods threaten their economy without bringing manufacturing back to the US. Bobby Axelrod weighs in with his signature wit and wisdom.
Trump's tariffs on Cambodian goods threaten their economy without bringing manufacturing back to the US. Bobby Axelrod weighs in with his signature wit and wisdom.

Trump's Trade Gambits: More Like a Bad Bet?

Alright listen up. Trump's slapping tariffs on Cambodia like he's shorting a stock before a market crash. His stated goal? Bring manufacturing back to the U.S. Sure sounds great in a MAGA hat rally but let's be real. We're talking about Cambodian factories facing an 'existential crisis' thanks to a 49% tariff. That's like betting your entire fund on a horse with three legs. Even I wouldn’t make that move. As Sun Tzu said “The line between disorder and order lies in logistics”.

Sew What? Sweatpants and the American Dream

Some talking head Casey Barnett President of the American Chamber of Commerce in Cambodia says 'I can't imagine that Americans want to sit down and sew a pair of sweatpants for long hours of the day.' No freakin' kidding! Americans wanna build apps disrupt industries and most importantly get filthy rich. Not stitch seams for a few bucks an hour. It is not like people would choose sewing sweatpants for living when they could be like Wendy Rhoades; a freaking performance coach. This whole 'bringing jobs back' thing sounds good on paper but doesn't make sense when you are thinking practically.

Cambodia's Got Options (and They Don't Involve Us)

So where do these Cambodian manufacturers go? Egypt sub Saharan Africa India Indonesia... basically anywhere but here. They are all looking for alternatives and can barely survive at the moment. You need to sharpen your decision making or you will have a problem Mr. President. Makes me wonder if Trump's advisors are even looking at the balance sheet before making these moves. Are they going to offer tax credits fiscal policies? They are looking for ways to survive which means they are looking everywhere for other opportunities.

Luxury Retailers Feeling the Pinch

Lululemon Hugo Boss Adidas… these aren't names you typically associate with sweatshop labor but they source from Cambodia. These are the brands I would expect to be mentioned in trade articles? Really? I thought they were better at it. If these tariffs stick expect to see your yoga pants and overpriced sneakers get even more expensive. Remember it's always about the Benjamins baby.

Supply Chain Chaos: A Waiting Game

Andrei Quinn Barabanov from Moody's says no one's making big moves right now. It is a waiting game and they are all pausing. Companies are sitting around waiting to see how this all shakes out. Supply chains are supposed to be long term investments. If you can’t see where you’re going you probably won’t like where you end up.

The American Consumer: Paying the Price (Again)

Bottom line? The average American is gonna get hosed. Barnett is right about that. These tariffs will increase poverty in Cambodia and they don't bring manufacturing back to the US. And it goes against everything I built in my life. The administration can spin it however they want and even the government in Cambodia wants to work to mitigate this problem but this tariff war is a tax on the middle class and helps no one. Trump might think he's playing chess but he's just flipping the board.


Comments

  • fx287 profile pic
    fx287
    4/9/2025 7:59:16 PM

    I am with Axe. Trump's decision-making looks so poor.