Bobby Axelrod breaks down Trump's trade deal with China, rare earths, tariffs, and the art of the deal (or the steal, depending on who you ask).
Bobby Axelrod breaks down Trump's trade deal with China, rare earths, tariffs, and the art of the deal (or the steal, depending on who you ask).

The Art of the (Trade) War

Alright folks Axe here. Let's dissect this Trump China situation like a hostile takeover. Trump's saying China's gonna hand over rare earths upfront as part of some deal. 'Excellent' relationship he claims. Sounds like someone's been hitting the Maalox a little too hard. Remember what I always say: 'What's the point of having fuck you money if you can't say fuck you?' Well Trump's trying to say it with tariffs apparently.

55%? That's Cute. Let's Talk Real Numbers

Fifty five percent tariffs huh? Child's play. I've seen bigger numbers on a bad day at the roulette table. Trump boasting about it like he just shorted the entire Chinese economy. He says China is getting 10% that is less than the cut I give Wags for just breathing! But hey good for him if he thinks he's pulling a fast one on Xi. I wonder if he understands who Xi is? Does he know who I am? Some people are so ungrateful... but eventually they all come crawling back.

The Xi Factor: More Than Just a Name

This deal hinges on final approval from Trump and Xi. Xi Jinping isn't some two bit hedge funder you can strong arm with a power lunch. He's playing chess while Trump's playing checkers...blindfolded. You have to respect the ruthless and Xi plays ruthless for breakfast. I'd respect him more if he let me invest in his country. It's the difference between knowing the path and walking the path. I think Xi knows the path...

Rare Earths: The Real McCoy

Rare earths upfront? Now we're talking. These aren't your grandma's collectibles. These are the backbone of modern tech. China controls most of the supply which gives them leverage. Trump getting them to fork it over is like getting a peek at their hand in a poker game. Not bad but you need more information to play the game.

London Calling (for a Trade Deal?)

High level talks in London? Fancy. I wonder if they closed down Harrods for the occasion. Bet you Donnie was ordering gold plated toilet seats. The important thing is whether this deal is real or just another Trumpian smoke and mirrors show. Is he really trying to drain the swamp or just redistribute the mosquitos.

The Bottom Line: Is This a Win or a Loss?

Here's the truth: it's too early to tell. I've made deals that looked amazing on paper but turned into dumpster fires. And I've salvaged wins from what looked like utter defeat. Trump's gonna have to play this smart. The stakes are high. But as I always say 'I don't have ulcers I give them.' Let's hope Trump's giving them to China not us.


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