Treasury Yields Tumble as Fed's Powell Calms Rate Hike Jitters

Fed's Powell Plays It Cool Man

Alright so I'm Peter Griffin and let me tell you economics is about as clear to me as Lois's instructions on how to load the dishwasher. But even I can understand that when the guy in charge of the money printer Jerome Powell says things are gonna be alright people start chillin'. Apparently he made some comments that made Wall Street think 'Hey maybe they won't jack up those interest rates after all'. It's like when Brian tells me not to eat the last donut. I pretend to listen but secretly I'm already halfway through it.

Yields Go Down Down to Goblin Town

So these things called 'Treasury yields' – which I think are related to pirates and buried treasure but probably aren't – they went down. The 10 year Treasury yield dropped 10 basis points. That's like finding a twenty in your old pants only way less exciting unless you're an economist. The article mentions basis points and yields moving inversely to prices. That's fancy talk for when one thing goes up the other goes down. It's like me and my cholesterol levels – one always seems to be climbing while the other is trying to hide. For a deeper dive into similar economic challenges check out FDA Under Fire Rare Disease Treatments Face Approval Hurdles.

Trump Talkin' Oil Again

Speaking of things that go up oil prices are doing their best impression of a rocket ship thanks to the whole U.S. Iran situation. And you know Trump he's never one to shy away from a good oil related… situation. Apparently he's threatening to 'completely obliterate' Iran's energy infrastructure. Sounds like something Stewie would plot but with less sophisticated weaponry and more of a British accent. It's all very 'I'm gonna drop the bass… on your oil wells'. It kind of reminds me of the time I tried to fix the toilet and ended up flooding the entire neighborhood. Good times.

Data Data Everywhere But Not a Drop to… Understand

Now here comes the boring part – data. We've got the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) the ADP Employment Survey and the nonfarm payrolls report. It's like alphabet soup for economists. All this stuff is supposed to tell us how the economy is doing after February 28th (when the strikes began) and about the economic consequences of the conflict but honestly I'd rather watch a Conway Twitty marathon.

Holiday Shortened Week

The market will be closed on Friday in observance of Good Friday but between you and me I am way more interested in that than this whole Fed and Treasury yields thing if you know what I mean.

The Bottom Line

Basically the market is waiting to see if higher oil prices will make businesses sad and cause inflation to go crazy kind of like when Meg tries to give me dating advice. It's a whole lot of waiting and seeing which if you ask me is just a fancy excuse for not knowing what the heck is going on. But hey at least we have beer and Conway Twitty to keep us company while we wait. Giggity.