Strait of Hormuz Closure Oil Market Unprepared Says Chevron CEO

Undervalued Disruption The Real Story

Okay okay settle down everyone. It seems my friend Mike Wirth over at Chevron is saying the oil market is a bit... how do you say... 'underprepared' for the mess at the Strait of Hormuz. You know like when you think you've stretched enough before a big fight scene and then BAM you pull a hamstring trying to do a flying kick. Painful right? He's saying the futures market isn't really getting how bad things are with the oil supply. Apparently they're trading on 'scant information' and 'perception.' Sounds like a movie plot eh? But this is real life people. And real life sometimes is more complicated than a Hong Kong action flick.

Physical vs. Financial A Kung Fu Conundrum

Wirth is making a point that's pretty clear even for an old stuntman like me. There's a difference between what the market thinks is happening and what's actually happening with the oil flowing – or more accurately *not* flowing. He said "We got a lot of oil and gas now that is not flowing into the market." Which is like having all the ingredients for a delicious Kung Pao chicken but the wok is broken. No good right? It's a physical problem not just a number on a screen. Speaking of problems you know what's a problem? When oil prices fluctuate wildly! Just like my movies sometimes. Speaking of my movies you might also get a new perspective in this article here Big Oil's Venezuelan Standoff A Chuck Norris Perspective and then get back to me here!

The Iranian Factor A Real Action Movie

Now add in a dash of geopolitical intrigue. Iranian attacks on shipping Gulf producers cutting output... it sounds like the opening scene of one of my movies. High stakes fast action and a whole lot of potential for things to go boom. Wirth says that even if the strait reopens it will take time to rebuild inventories. It’s like trying to rebuild a dojo after a rival gang trashed it. It takes time effort and maybe a few well placed kicks.

Government's Hold Tight Strategy

And it gets trickier. Some governments are holding onto their stocks reducing exports. Smart move for them maybe. But it tightens the global supply even more. Remember when I had to hold onto that vase in 'Who Am I'? It’s kind of like that but on a much much bigger scale. Except instead of a priceless vase it's oil. And instead of trying to keep it from falling they are preventing it from going into the global supply. So this is like an action scene without the action which isn't good.

The Uncertain Recovery The Waiting Game

So what's the takeaway? Wirth is basically saying don't expect a quick fix. Even when things calm down it'll take time to get back to normal. "How quickly that production can actually come back online is an uncertainty that we're going to have to deal with as we go forward," he says. "It's going to take some time to come out of this." It's going to be a waiting game. Like waiting for the director to yell 'Action' after hours of setting up a complicated stunt. Patience my friends patience.

Expertise and Trust Jackie's Final Thoughts

Now I'm no oil tycoon but I know a thing or two about navigating tricky situations. I have experience in dangerous situations. What I've learned in my years of doing my own stunts you’ve got to be prepared for anything. And according to my friend Mike the world isn't ready for what's coming with this Strait of Hormuz situation. And as I always say 'Don't just learn experience. Don't just read absorb'. I guess the oil market needs to absorb this lesson quickly. Stay safe everyone and maybe invest in a good bicycle.