Ford's Wild Ride Missed Turns Spur 2026 Rebound Hope

Ford Stumbles But Not Like at the Clam

Alright alright giggity. Looks like Ford took a bit of a tumble in the fourth quarter eh? We're talking about the biggest earnings miss in four years. Apparently some unexpected tariff costs and a fire at an aluminum plant threw a wrench in their engine. Makes you wonder if Peter Griffin was moonlighting as a saboteur. Regardless this is serious business even if my brain sometimes lives in the gutter.

Tariffs and Flames Oh My

So here's the skinny. Those pesky tariffs cost Ford about $900 million and a fire at a Novelis aluminum plant in New York really did a number on production of the F Series pickup trucks. Ford CFO Sherry House noted the plant won't be fully operational until mid year. Apparently securing aluminum will be costly erasing any savings they might have had. What a quagmire (pun intended). Speaking of quagmires I should probably get my car washed. Or better yet get a new one. Maybe Ford's stock is a good idea? Especially after reading this article on CVS Health's Turnaround Defies Chaos Embracing Order that shows how comapanies can comeback in such turbulent times.

2026 A Year of Gigitty Good Revival

But fear not gearheads. Ford is eyeing 2026 as their comeback year. They're projecting some serious cash flow improvements with adjusted EBIT between $8 billion and $10 billion. We will see a billion dollar benefit roughly in 2026 according to House. Adjusted free cash flow between $5 billion and $6 billion. Sounds like someone's been hitting the gym… financially speaking. But you can never hit the gym too many times Giggity.

EVs and the Traditional Engines

Ford's got a plan to balance the books. Their traditional and fleet operations (Ford Pro and Blue) are expected to offset the losses from their "Model e" electric vehicle unit. I guess going green isn't always easy huh? Though I'm always environmentally friendly in my own way if you know what I mean Giggity.

The Numbers Don't Lie (Unless They Do)

On an unadjusted basis Ford reported a net loss of $8.2 billion last year. That's a hefty sum the biggest since the Great Recession. It included $15.5 billion in special charges related to their electric vehicle plans. Hey sometimes you gotta cut your losses and move on. Much like I did with Brenda… twice.

Reality Check and a Look Ahead

Ford is adjusting its strategy and focusing on its strengths. They're weathering the storm and aiming for a brighter future. As they say in Quahog "giggity giggity goo"... to a better tomorrow. It is important to note that the company's 2025 results continue to demonstrate the company's underlying business is improving despite the special items impacting results. The company's 2025 revenue was a record $187.3 billion up 1% from $185 billion a year earlier.