China's Economy Does the Hokey Pokey: CPI Up, PPI Down

Whither China's Economy Brian?

Right then let's dissect this economic carcass shall we? China's consumer inflation crept up a measly 0.2% in January which is about as exciting as watching paint dry – or perhaps watching Brian attempt to understand quantum physics. The experts those chaps in their ivory towers were expecting a bit more oomph a 0.4% increase to be precise. But alas the Chinese economy decided to do the Hokey Pokey instead. Now where's my Rupert when I need a proper distraction?

Factory Gates of Doom

And what about those factory gates eh? The producer price index or PPI as the dullards call it declined by 1.4%. It seems manufacturers are still wrestling with tepid consumer confidence and those pesky trade policies from across the pond. Frankly it's enough to make one yearn for the simple days of world domination plots. Speaking of complex situations it seems Taiwan Says Moving Chip Supply to US Is Like Totally Impossible. I can't imagine trying to move all that infrastructure it would be quite the undertaking.

Lunar Lunacy and Economic Shenanigans

Apparently this whole thing is skewed by the Lunar New Year which according to some eggheads makes it difficult to get a clear picture. One chap a Mr. Zhiwei Zhang suggests the timing of the holiday throws everything off. Another fellow Zavier Wong suggests treating January and February as a combined read. It's all rather convoluted isn't it? Makes you wonder if they're deliberately trying to confuse us like Lois trying to explain her "art."

Stimulus? We Don't Need No Stinkin' Stimulus

The powers that be in China seem to prefer investment led growth viewing stimulus measures as a "one time boost" that just adds to the debt. Chetan Ahya from Morgan Stanley suggests that China’s fiscal revenue to GDP ratio has declined while public debt has ballooned. Apparently it's a delicate balancing act like trying to teach Peter to behave in polite society. Utterly futile I say.

Debt: It's All Relative Darling

Now while China's debt to GDP ratio has expanded it's apparently still lower than that of the United States. So it's all relative isn't it? Like comparing my genius to Meg's… well anything. It is very hard to compare two incomparable things really.

Monetary Musings

The People's Bank of China is apparently determined to implement "appropriately loose" monetary policies. Which sounds like something Lois would say after one too many glasses of Chardonnay at a Quahog Historical Society meeting. The plan is to shore up the economy and guide prices towards "a reasonable recovery." One can only hope they succeed or I might have to start peddling my inventions on the black market again. 'Death Ray anyone?'